“In the years leading up to mid-2007 keen observers noted dangerous leverage in the US debt markets and some predicted that the bubble would pop. Predictions like this were contrarian while the market was rising, and they were ridiculed. But then when the bubble did pop, those same contrarians became nearly household names as network TV invited them on to explain their predictions.”
So begins a lengthy and informative article by blogger FOFOA, in which he claims that the coming devaluation of the dollar will be sprung on us without warning. If you have time, I recommend you read it (here is the link)
Your editor is in partial agreement with FOFOA. Indeed, I would say the devaluation of the dollar is already well underway. Unfortunately, the vast majority of people are currently living in a world of illusion… just this week, against all odds, the stock market rose again. When people see a rise in the nominal value of their investments, they believe they are making money. But they are wrong. Few take in that the cost of living is rising disproportionately higher… so they are actually losing. This is the fundamental strategy behind what I call the stealth devaluation of the dollar. The purchasing power of the dollar has fallen drastically since the Second World War, with a notable increase in the velocity of the fall in the last couple of years.
Another informed and respected commentator on the collapse of the dollar is John Rubino, who recently interviewed yours truly for an article on offshore banking and asset protection. In recent comments he refers to some news passed on by veteran newsletter writers Harry Schultz and Bob Chapman, that verges on what I would call a conspiracy theory…. or does it? You decide! The story goes like this:
“Some US embassies worldwide are being advised to purchase massive amounts of local currencies; enough to last them a year. Some embassies are being sent enormous amounts of US cash to purchase currencies from those govts, quietly. But not £’s. Inside the State Dept there is a sense of sadness & foreboding that ‘something’ is about to happen, unknown re a date-just that within 180 days, but could be 120-150 days.”
Bob quotes another source that “Panasonic has told their people to be back in Japan by Sept 09.”
Harry Schultz’s remarkable take on the situation:
“My HSL suspicion is that the elite plan another FDR style “bank holiday” of indefinite length, perhaps very soon, to let the insiders sort-out the bank mess which is getting more out of their control every day. Insiders want/need to impose new bank rules. Widespread nationalization could result, already under way. It could also lead to a formal US$ devaluation, as FDR did by revaluing gold (& then confiscating it). But devalue against what? The euro? Doubtful. Gold? Maybe. Or vs. the IMF basket of currencies (which seems more likely)-& much in the news recently.
Any kind of bank holiday will push the US$ lower, which may be a bonus benefit to their ongoing scenario of letting the $ fall. Such a fall would get the devaluation they want without having to declare it. In sum, the insiders want more bank & system control, fewer banks & a lower US$. A bank holiday would suit all their needs.”
So there is the question. Can we expect a sudden dollar devaluation, complete with suspension of markets and a so-called ‘bank holiday’? Or will we see the stealth devaluation of the dollar continue to accelerate?
My bet is on the latter. Why would politicians and those in power risk the wrath of the people by devaluing the dollar so explicitly from one day to the next, when they have successfully got away so long with devaluing the dollar on the quiet with few people noticing. But of course I may be wrong, and the situation may be even more out of control than I think.
Either way, I’m not sitting waiting for it to happen, and you shouldn’t either! If you are properly prepared, such a collapse would be a huge profit opportunity. But you would not be able to rely on usual market mechanisms… we have to consider that the stock markets and financial system might be completely suspended. It happened in the aftermath of 9/11, but it hasn’t yet happened during this global financial crisis. Never say never!
My advice is that markets are a nice convenient way of speculating play money for short term gains, but every serious investor needs to keep wealth outside the financial system too. That may be in your own business (if it is resilient) or it may be in real estate (people will always need places to live) or it may be by stashing gold bullion in an offshore safe deposit box.
The Q Wealth Report is here to advise you on all these options and more. If you haven’t yet read our free five-day e-mail course The Secrets of the Super Rich, I would urge you to sign up for it now. As I said, it is absolutely free and without obligation. I think you will find it an eye-opener!