The article below appeared in this week’s Q Bytes newsletter. We thought it was of extreme importance so we decided to publish it here on the blog. If you would like to ensure you receive such insights every week, sign up free of charge for Q Bytes here.

WHAT THEY DON’T WANT YOU TO KNOW ABOUT THE EURO CRISIS

We at Q Wealth maintain a healthy scepticism about anything we read in the mainstream media. What you see on CNN, CNBC, Fox and all the rest is what corporate interests – a term which I use in its broadest sense to include governments – want us to believe.

The lead economic story over the past month or so has been about Europe going down the tubes, imminent collapse of the euro, blood in the streets in Europe etc. Now I’m the first to admit that European finances are in terrible shape, and that the European Monetary Union might not have been a good idea from the beginning… but I believe there is an untold story behind the headlines. Things don’t get hyped this much by pure accident.

“You know you said something to me Peter, a year or so ago, that really stuck in my mind because it made a lot of sense to me,” said a close friend to me last week. “You said that if the central banks could arrange for the dollar, the euro, the pound and the yen to fall all at the same time, nobody would really notice that a devaluation was taking place.”

I’ve pointed out many times that however dire the circumstances are, I don’t expect to see overnight devaluations of major currencies in the way that we have seen in places like Argentina and Venezuela. The first world central banksters are more sophisticated than that. They certainly don’t have 100% control of the situation, but neither are they going to let the dollar, the euro or the yen into freefall. To do so would be completely against their interests. Instead, they are going for stealth devaluation.

Stealth devaluation means gradually taking away purchasing power in such a way that most people won’t notice. They will not see huge variations on their retirement account statements. They will have the same number of dollars or euros or pounds. So people won’t complain too much. They’ll sit in front of their TVs ready to be distracted by the next passing fad, blissfully ignorant that they every month the purchasing power of those fiat money units is less.

Meanwhile, the governments will effectively have got away with grand theft. Theft from pension plans, retirement accounts, and ordinary people’s savings. Or put another way, a hidden form of taxation (so still theft).

The dollar is collapsing… it has been harder and harder to place US treasury bonds recently, because despite the US AAA credit rating, foreign investors are getting the distinct feeling that treasuries are not so safe as they are made out to be. Hence the run of sovereign and institutional investors to gold, the only debt-free currency, which continues to rise.

Look at the recent fall in the value of the euro from this perspective. The US is prepared to play hard ball to keep up confidence in the dollar. I can’t do better than to quote our friend Frank Suess, who by the way is a confirmed speaker at our Strategies for Success event this September. On May 12th Frank wrote about a secretive meeting held under the ominous title of “High-Level Conference on the International Monetary System, Zurich” This gathering entailed the who´s who of international finance, including IMF chief Herb Stein, George Soros and Masaaki Shirakawa. The following day Frank wrote:

Whether you like it or not, the global financial system is always but a mirror image, a reflection of what is happening in America. This has to be your starting point. If you are looking at the Greek debt crisis from a Greek or European perspective, you are missing half of the story (and the more important half!). If you are evaluating the topic of “Chinese currency manipulation” only from a perspective of trade balances, you are missing the true and relevant story.

The US dollar is at the epicenter – NOT the Yuan, NOT the Euro, and certainly not Greece.

Then, a few weeks later, as Frank’s predictions played out, he commented further:

What´s going on? In brief, we have America defending the Greenback´s position as the number one world reserve currency. And, America is playing smart and tough. When you are not able to fix your own problems and clean up your finances, then what needs to be done is denigrate and weaken your closest contender, in this case the Euro.

Of particular interest is Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner’s travel schedule. He has been touring the world from China, to London, to Germany, to Spain. Everywhere he stopped, he pushed for ‘quantitative easing.’ Europe, according to Mr. Geithner, is expected to “chip in and support the global economic recovery” – or in other words, run deficits like the USA.

And that is precisely what Europe is now doing – printing vast sums of money to fund bailouts that are strongly opposed by European voters. And that is, naturally, bringing down the value of the Euro.

But if we look at the bigger picture, it is still the American deficit that is the biggest problem. Other currencies need to be knocked into shape so that the American people, and investors around the world, don’t notice the devaluation of their currency.

Greece, in the global scheme of things, is insignificant. Greece´s GDP is approximately US$ 76 billion per annum. That is less than 3.8% of the size of the economy of the State of California. And have you looked at the shape of California’s finances lately? Food for thought…

Peter Macfarlane reports on Offshore Banking, Offshore Investing and Asset Protection for Q Wealth Report.

The FDIC yesterday shut down seven more banks in five US states, bringing to 37 the number of bank failures in the U.S. so far this year, on top of the 140 that collapsed in 2009. The news was particularly bad for depositors of Advanta Bank in Utah, as regulators were unable to find another bank to take it over. Therefore anyone with deposits exceeding the FDIC insurance level of $250,000 loses the excess.

These Friday afternoon bank raids have become commonplace by now. What’s interesting, however, is that regulators, quoted by AP, are now saying that “The pace of bank seizures this year is likely to accelerate in coming months, as losses mount on loans made for commercial property and development.”

It was not many months ago here in Q Bytes that we warned you about the coming US commercial property bust, which will make the residential/sub-prime crisis look tiny in comparison.

The FDIC is planning to spend about $100 billion bailing out banks over the next four years. But  get this: they will only deal in future with smaller bank failures. Legislation now in the senate proposes to set up a completely different system to cover failures of big, complex financial institutions. Besides, for reasons we’ve written about frequently including in the latest Q Wealth Report, we believe $100 billion will be nowhere near enough. The government printing presses will soon be rolling again, leading to further devaluations.

Our intention here at Q Wealth is not to scare you. In fact, we have always said that with careful planning and a little thought, there are numerous ways you can profit from the crisis… turn the crisis to your advantage.

First of all, our advice is to reduce dollar exposure. If you have savings, the first thing you need is a simple multi-currency bank account that allows you to switch currencies online. That way you maintain flexibility and privacy. Very few if any US banks offer multi currency accounts, so you’ll probably need to go to an offshore bank. While we do believe FDIC insurance will protect the dollar amounts in US bank accounts, what is the value of having the same amount of dollars in five years, if you can only buy half as much with those dollars?

Fortunately, the best offshore banks are a much safer place to stash your money. If your know how to choose an offshore bank carefully, you can avoid exposure to risky business practices which are bringing down so many US banks. And whilst a million will get you better service in a different class of bank, offshore banking is not just for millionaires. There are good offshore banks out there where you can test the waters by opening foreign currency accounts with $500 or less. Another myth, also untrue, is that US citizens cannot open offshore accounts. Full details of some of these recommended banks, including  our list of offshore banks and contact information, can be found in our free Practical Offshore Banking Guide 2010 available to members.

The last laugh, however, is with the real estate speculators – whom many blame for causing the crisis. No matter what happens to financial markets, people will always need a place to live. When there is ‘blood in the streets’ there are bargains around. Our Q Wealth Expert and Real Estate Guru Thomas Bolther has recently said he believes it’s time to BUY US real estate. Real estate investors who have followed Thomas’s advice from past Q Wealth events and stayed liquid are now set to make a killing. Thomas will be writing more about this on his own blog over coming weeks, at bolther.com He’s also confirmed as a scheduled speaker at our event in Ireland in September (see below)

Following is an edited version of our Press Release announcing the new 2010 edition of our ever popular Practical Offshore Banking Guide which is now available….

While the days of James Bond-style numbered Swiss bank accounts may be over, the world of discreet private banking and offshore wealth management is growing apace as financial uncertainty continues to make people seek safe havens.

Despite highly-publicized government crackdowns on tax evasion around the world during the past year, spearheaded by the G20-OECD “anti tax haven” blacklisting and the US attack on UPS after defection of Bradley Birkenfeld,  more billions are headed for offshore banks and tax havens than ever before – with good reason, and it’s all completely legal. That is the conclusion of the new Practical Offshore Banking Guide 2010, advising high net worth individuals and entrepreneurs on offshore banking and asset protection, that is released today. In it you will find information on nine of the best offshore banks.

In the 2010 update of his annual Q Wealth Practical Offshore Banking Guide, offshore banking expert Peter Macfarlane points out that tax evasion is far from the only factor encouraging smart individuals to go offshore. “There are more good reasons than ever to go offshore. Taxes are certainly a factor, but many people these days are motivated by deeper feelings – they just don’t trust the system any more,” said Macfarlane today. “Basically, they are demanding full control of their own money. The human right to privacy is definitely part of the equation. Why should an individual´s finances be an open book?”

“Bank failures and bailouts are on everybody’s minds, and rational individuals are looking to open accounts at conservative and respectable banks, in countries that respect the rule of law and private property, that do not have this toxic exposure. Clients seek to protect their assets not just against the perceived injustice of many lawsuits, but more fundamentally against a decline in the value of the dollar and other major currencies like the euro and pound. Expecting the imminent devaluation or collapse of the dollar, they are diversifying into better-backed currencies, and of course into precious metals like gold and silver – something made easy by offshore multi-currency bank accounts,” comments Macfarlane, adding: “We’ve all heard about the risks of keeping eggs in the same basket.”

The Practical Offshore Guide 2010 includes special sections for US and European Union citizens, explains information exchange in detail, and proffers practical advice on choosing, opening and operating an offshore bank account.

The Practical Offshore Banking Guide 2010 is published FREE for readers of The Q Wealth Report, a privately-published newsletter covering to offshore banking, asset protection and wealth management. The Q Wealth Report was established in England in 1996 and has a global readership. Englishman Peter Macfarlane, 38, is joint editor, besides running his own professional practice in Panama City, Panama and being a regular speaker at offshore events.  Further bio on Peter Macfarlane is here. The free Secrets of the Super Rich course edited by Peter Macfarlane and others is available here.

by Peter Macfarlane

In my Gold Report ( a.k.a. “How to Purchase and Hide Gold Bullion Offshore”) earlier this year, I wrote that the USA, UK and other major countries are bankrupt. This may not be news to some readers, but the vast majority of the population carry on believing the mainstream media, in spite of all that has happened.

Recently, I received a call from a personal consulting client asking why I said the USA was bankrupt. I guess he had seen in the last few days gold surging ahead, breaking new records in terms of US dollar pricing, while the dollar was falling. Now of course that doesn’t necessarily mean gold is really gaining ground… it could just be taken as evidence of the dollar losing ground – since gold is real money. The Fed can’t print gold.

What was the evidence behind my claim of the USA being bankrupt? And how does one define a bankrupt country? And where do other countries, particularly the UK and Switzerland, fit into the equation?

I decided to answer these questions briefly here, for everybody’s benefit.

First of all, defining a bankrupt country is not easy. Iceland clearly went bankrupt in a more traditional sense. But Iceland was a relatively insignificant country of only a few hundred thousand people. My contention is that the USA is also bankrupt, but it is not so obvious because there are many other factors there supporting the currency – the greatest of which is China. While the USA is bankrupt, China is the richest country in the world.

Who says? And where is my evidence for that? No less authority than the Central Intelligence Agency, obviously a US government agency. Now don’t get me wrong, I know the CIA make mistakes, at least one of which led to a major war. But I think in this case the CIA’s figures are quite accurate…  Click here to visit CIA site and see the Current Account Balance ranking

Take a look at that page, which shows the Current Account Balance. In plain language, that just shows what countries have ‘money in the bank’ and which are operating in a permanent overdraft mode!

China is at the top of the list, with a huge positive balance – not far off that of Germany, which occupies the number 2 position.

The United States is at the bottom, with a negative balance more than five times greater than the next largest debtor, Spain.

You’ll also see the UK, France, Spain and Italy down there with the USA.

Here’s another interesting page to look at: Gold and Foreign Currency Reserves

You’ll see China up at the top again, with huge foreign exchange and gold reserves. Most of China’s foreign exchange reserves are held in US dollars.

On this chart, the USA is at number 19, with foreign exchange and gold reserves just above Switzerland’s (but note the USA has smaller reserves than Malaysia, Libya, Mexico and Iran)

So compare the figures – the USA’s negative current account balance with the USA’s reserves – what is actually there backing the dollar – and you’ll see a huge discrepancy. The current account deficit is almost nine times the amount of the reserves.

Here’s how I interpret those figures: The fundamentals of the US dollar are a disaster. It is being supported only because the Chinese and US governments want to keep its value up, and to a lesser extent because other governments see the dollar as a reserve currency. This arrangement has suited many parties for years, but it doesn’t really suit China any more.

Many other governments see the writing on the wall (especially the BRIC countries – Brazil, Russia, India and China) and are diversifying out of dollars for their foreign exchange reserves as well as for other important activities like trading oil. Take a look at where those four countries appear on the list. Very interesting!

So my conclusion is that the dollar is doomed. It has to weaken a lot further. I’ve explained in other articles why I foresee the continuing stealth devaluation of the US dollar rather than an outright dollar collapse. (See related article links below) I just cannot see how anyone, not even the might of the US and Chinese governments working together, can support the US dollar long term. Of course they might succeed in the short and even medium term.

Another interesting factor affecting the US dollar is the commercial real estate timebomb in the USA. We just emailed Q Wealth members with some important information on that this morning. If you are not yet a member, that’s something else you missed out on!

The Euro is a more complicated matter because there are such widely divergent economies in the Euro zone (Germany and Spain for example). Many people believe the Euro will break up. It might, but somehow I think that is unlikely. I think the Euro could benefit, at least in the short term, from the run out of the dollar. If you are going to keep reserves in fiat currency, and you want to avoid the dollar, the Euro is the logical choice. That said, its fundamentals are terrible too.

What about Switzerland? Switzerland is actually looking good. If I wrote that it was in bad shape in the Gold Report, that was because of its huge exposure to Eastern European currencies – another timebomb that I won’t get in to here. The other thing is that Switzerland is inevitably very dependent on whatever happens to the Euro. But I would probably revise my opinion from earlier this year on Switzerland. I keep some of my own assets in Swiss Francs.

And the UK? A lost cause in my view. They are stuck somewhere between the dollar and the euro. Sterling might recover in the short term.

Finally, I should say that I am no currency expert. I hold fairly strong views but don’t seek to impose them on other people. My work is offshore structuring and managing offshore banking relationships. Managing money is a big responsibility that I prefer to leave to others. But my own portfolio is heavily invested in gold, and I believe the next decade will belong to emerging economies. Buying currency is something akin to buying shares in a country. And my currency bets are on emerging markets.

Note: Peter Macfarlane is joint editor of The Q Wealth Report, a unique privately-circulated newsletter dedicated to achieving personal freedom, wealth and privacy – and to securing wealth and nurturing it offshore. If you are new here and would like to see more views like this, be sure to check out our free five part course on the fundamentals of offshore investing and international asset protection. Sign up now without obligation for this free course and our weekly Q Bytes free newsletter.

“The Dethroning of the US Dollar could happen sooner than you think,” says Keith Fitz-Gerald in a recently published article. The implications of this for asset protection purposes are huge – now is the time to diversify out of the collapsing dollar, and protect your wealth and assets through the use of offshore corporate banking structures.

By Keith Fitz-Gerald Investment Director Money Morning/The Money
Map Report

By now virtually every investor has heard the argument that the U.S.
dollar is slated to lose its status as the global reserve currency. And that’s
good – as far as it goes.

What’s bad is that many of these investors have yet to latch onto the fact
that this could happen much sooner than many people realize and in a
manner that will catch most by surprise.

Let’s take a look at the three key reasons that this shift away from the U.S.
dollar happening – and sooner rather than later:

1. The Asian Region Currency Partnership: Japan, once the staunchest of
U.S. allies, is leading the charge to form a regional currency partnership
based on closer ties between itself, China and South Korea. Ostensibly
part of the second trilateral “leader’s meeting,” that happened earlier this
year, financial cooperation was front and center on the agenda (at Japan’s
invitation) as a means of coping with the ongoing global financial crisis
and with the subsequent resumption of worldwide financial growth. It was
also key to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)
discussions that took place this past weekend – with the waning influence
of the U.S. economy again playing a key role in the discussion amongst
potential ASEAN trading block partners.

At a time when U.S. leaders are fooling only themselves by pretending
this country remains the key player in the health of the worldwide
economy, Japan’s newly elected Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama didn’t
mince words following the trilateral meeting when making such comments
as “until now we have been too reliant on the United States” and “I would
like to develop policies that focus more on Asia” to press-corps attendees.

Having spent 20 years in the region, I can’t say I’m surprised by this
development. And you shouldn’t be, either. Between China, South Korea
and Japan, we’re talking about 16% of the world’s gross domestic product
(GDP) – a figure that’s growing almost daily, by the way.

There are obviously some significant challenges, given the cultural
sensitivities that remain in the region as a result of World War II. But even
those are being trumped by today’s serious global financial demands. After
the three-nations met, Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao noted that “we
have agreed to seek common ground and shelve our differences.”

In a column written from my family home in Japan earlier this year, I
noted how important it is to “read between the lines” when investors are
attempting to decode English-language statements being made by officials
in Japan or China. It’s not what’s actually being said – at least, not as
Westerners hear it – that’s important. That’s actually been shifted a bit by
the translator. You really have to go back and make an effort to see just
what it was the official actually meant.

Granted, that’s not the easiest of exercises. But it does force you to really
look at what’s taking place – which will usually give you a much-more
accurate picture than if you just trust what’s said by the Western press.

So Wen Jiabao’s statement can be construed as it’s “time to get down to
business.”

2. When “Black Gold” is No Longer Quoted in Greenbacks: Middle
Eastern nations and members of the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC) finally couldn’t contain themselves any
longer and leaked information a few weeks back that they’re pursuing a
non-U.S. dollar trading basket as a replacement for the current U.S. dollar-
traded oil markets.

We’ve been forecasting this for some time. The difference this time around
is that the Middle Eastern nations are now all but openly in cahoots with
China, Russia, Japan and France – all of whom the United States continues
to blithely believe it can outmaneuver.

While the meetings have been held in secret, my sources in Hong Kong
and the Persian Gulf region suggest that the move is imminent and that the
establishment of an independent trading market is all that’s keeping us
from a day in which oil prices are no longer quoted in dollars. Oil will
instead trade in the combined basket using currencies from the nations I
just mentioned. Led by China and potentially – although this is a big leap -
tied in good measure to the yuan.

As a side note, this may at least partially explain the rise in gold prices as
enlightened traders begin to hedge the dollar’s ultimate demise. This
makes sense for two reasons: First, China uses oil in an incrementally
greater proportion than the United States because it remains less energy
efficient. That means that China will take in an increasingly larger
percentage of world supplies.

Second, gold is the only “currency” that is potentially liquid enough to
serve as a transitional store of value until the new currency basket arrives.  Pun absolutely intended.

Incidentally, you can expect Brazil and India to join the party shortly,
leaving the United States even further out in the cold. And while we’re at
it, my guess is that the new oil markets will be based in Shanghai, and not
in New York or Chicago.

Watch, too, as the United Kingdom is dragged – kicking and screaming -
to the euro because it will have no choice but to abandon the U.S. dollar.

3. U.S. Firms Are Already Adopting a China Focus: While ostensibly
supporting the recovery here, major U.S. companies are already looking at
what it will take to list their shares on China’s stock exchanges. Although
I’ve been following this story for at least two years, it’s received almost no
attention in the U.S. news media. When it does happen – and it will – this
will be one of the biggest wakeup calls yet for those Western investors
who refuse to acknowledge Asia’s economic ascendance.

I’m not talking about fringe companies here, either. I’m talking about
stalwarts like Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT), The Coca-Cola Co.
(NYSE: KO), and General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE), to name just a few.
In short, companies that U.S. investors view as American as apple pie are
pushing to be viewed as Asian as quickly as possible.

I originally thought this wouldn’t happen for five to seven years (which is
still faster than most investors believed possible). Instead, I give this shift
12 months to 24 months – at most – before we see the first listings.

The fallout from this will be considerable. The historic financial centers of
London and New York will take yet another step to the sideline as new
Asian markets emerge.

To some, this will sound like scary stuff. But uncertainty breeds
opportunity. And savvy investors will welcome the changes because there
will be a fascinating fallout that almost no one is talking about.

The emergence of Asia as a true global financial center will make it so
much easier to raise capital in that part of the world. All this new Asian
capital will likely lead to a new golden age of investing – certainly in Asia,
but also in the United States and Europe to the extent that companies that
pursue these listings will have newfound sources of capital to buttress
their balance sheets.

Not all companies will be regarded equally, however. For investors, the
best choices will be those companies that can immediately use the money
they raise through Chinese offerings to enhance their global operations,
increase worldwide sales, and cement their relationships with sources of
Asian capital.

So if there’s one key take away in all this, it’s this to paraphrase the words
of American writer Ruth E. Renkel: “Don’t fear shadows – they simply
mean there’s a light shining somewhere nearby.”

Note: Keith Fitz-Gerald  is the Chief Investment Strategist for Money Map Press LLC, as well as for Money Morning, a daily global investing news service with more than 500,000 daily readers in 30 countries. He is one of the world’s leading experts on global investing, particularly when it comes to Asia’s emergence as a global powerhouse. He contributed this article to Q Wealth Report.

China’s banking system has twenty-five times the reserves of the US Federal Reserve. The USA’s power to dictate international monetary policy is lost as the rest of the world views the US dollar as a liability. People ask me every day about the “dollar collapse” – why do I keep predicting it, and why has it not happened yet? The answer is to be found in China.

For those of you who have already read How to Prosper from the Coming Shift in Power, module 5 in our free five part Secrets of the Super Rich course, I thought the following guest article by Keith Fitz-Gerald of Money Morning would be of interest. Keith is an investment analyst who lives part of the year in Asia. Here’s what he has to say…

Most Americans will view China’s effort to dethrone the U.S. dollar as the world’s main reserve currency as one of the biggest economic threats that this country will have to face.

But the reality is that this tectonic shift in global finance – and the economic shockwaves that will result – could provide investors with some of the greatest profit plays they’ll ever see in their lifetimes.

No matter which camp you’re in, the China-spawned changes are headed our way.

In 1990, the U.S. banking system was 2.3 to 2.7 times the size of its counterpart in China. Today, however, the situation has been reversed, and there is much more of an imbalance. In fact, China’s banking system has 25 times the reserves of the U.S. Federal Reserve.

At some point, the United States will no longer be able to dictate international monetary policy. Unfortunately, as our monetary policy aptly demonstrates, Washington seems to be the only player involved in this game of high-stakes global finance to not understand just how this is destined to play out.

U.S. leaders continue to employ monetary policy as a weapon – despite the fact that most of the rest of the world views the U.S. dollar as a liability.
At the end of World War II, virtually the entire world functioned on dollars. By some accounts, 100% of the world’s money supply was the dollar. Today that figure has dropped all the way down to 19%, says Rochdale Securities LLC analyst Richard Bove, a noted expert on the U.S. banking system and Federal Reserve.

Now that the federal government has deployed a few trillion dollars more as bailout bucks, it’s clear that the greenback has lost its mojo and the U.S. government has lost its international monetary leverage.

Why is this worrisome? History tells us that the countries with the strongest economies tend to also have the strongest currencies. It may take awhile for the latter to catch up with the former, but the relationship is highly correlated relationship – suggesting that China’s on the rise economically, while its currency is advancing with the unstoppability of a diesel locomotive operating at full throttle.

So if the U.S. dollar gets derailed as the world’s chief reserve currency – as we’ve repeatedly predicted is destined to take place – the world’s next reserve currency is likely to be China’s yuan, known officially as the renminbi.

Washington says that won’t happen, since Beijing takes steps to keep the yuan from being fully tradable. That’s true enough. But Beijing also understands that the dollar is a liability – which is why China’s leaders are going to great lengths to establish the yuan as a viable currency all its own, while simultaneously minimizing the Red Dragon’s dollar-based exposure.
In the last six months, for example, China has signed at least $95 billion in swap agreements, under which it can trade directly with countries for payment in yuan. The countries that sign these deals are getting huge discounts from China in exchange for their participation – and for buying goods from China. And the deals enable China to do an end run around the entire dollar-based currency trading system.

When it comes to this long-term plan to boost the yuan’s importance, China is waging a campaign on multiple fronts. This past spring, for instance, China organized a meeting in Moscow – attended by representatives from Brazil, India and Russia – where the main goal was to supplant the U.S. dollar as the world’s main reserve currency, replacing it with a yuan-led market basket of currencies, one that is simply backed by China’s renminbi, or perhaps even one based on the International Monetary Fund’s so-called Special Drawing Right (SDR).

Created by the IMF in 1969 to support the Bretton Woods fixed exchange rate system, the SDR was redefined in 1973 as a basket of currencies. Today, the SDR consists of the euro, Japanese yen, pound sterling, and U.S. dollar.

My guess is that this gathering in Moscow was merely the first of many such meetings that we’ll see take place around the world in the years to come. Expect the list of attendees to grow, as well.

Given all that we now know, the real question becomes: What happens if China succeeds and the yuan displaces the greenback as the world’s top transactional currency?

The list of potential implications is very long, and includes several scenarios that are almost apocalyptic. But most of the outcomes raise as many questions as they answer.

Let’s consider the Top Five:

1. Global Gloom Leads to U.S. Doom: The U.S. dollar goes into freefall for the simple reason that if no country has to hold dollars any longer, they won’t. Instead – thanks to the ragged state of the U.S. government’s finances – many countries will dump greenbacks fast as they can, which will only put additional pressure on an already-strained U.S. financial system, which in turn will further damage our economy.
2. Inflation Inflates: Inflation will strike here with a vengeance, as anything bought, sold or priced in dollars will instantly rise in price to offset this fall.
3. Repatriation Risk: With the dollar serving as the world’s de facto currency, U.S. companies bear very little exchange rate risk when the time comes to repatriate assets or make currency-related adjustments. That would change overnight and prices throughout the value chains would rise sharply to compensate.
4. Money Costs More: The cost of money itself would rise. If the dollar falls, not only will there be massive selling pressure against it, but the cost of borrowing it will rise dramatically as lenders raise rates to cope with the increased risk of dollar-based transactions.
5. Death By Debt: And finally, if there is another reserve currency, other countries will no longer have to buy our debt, and you can guess where that will leave us – especially given the fact that we’ve taken on trillions in new debt to help finance our way out of our current mess.

My best guess is that we won’t see any one of these things in isolation, but will instead experience a blending of several or all of them. To the extent that China continues to absorb our inflationary influences, buy our debt in measured doses and maintain its reserves, we’ll probably have a measured decline in the value of the dollar – but not the catastrophic fall many in the doom, gloom and boom crowd are predicting. At the same time, I also see the IMF change course in the next few years to reflect China’s increasingly substantial influence and monetary power.

On the individual investor level, this clearly provides a new set of influences that most investors have yet to grasp. Most will perceive what I have said as a threat, but I believe the correct way to view this is that there will be a whole new set of opportunities coming our way.

Some of those opportunities will be obvious – like the need to invest in currencies and commodities that are of interest to China. Others, like direct investments in China’s yuan, will require special insight, a good investment guide, or a leap of faith.

Further reading: If you’ve not yet read Q Wealth’s five part course on offshore banking, asset protection and international wealth creation, check it out now. It’s free. If you are already a member of Q Wealth then you will have access to a wealth of material and information on how you can take full advantage of opportunities presented by the global crisis.

The bottom line – and the most important thing to remember – is this: No matter how this plays out, there will always be an upside for investors who are willing to seek it out.

“In the years leading up to mid-2007 keen observers noted dangerous leverage in the US debt markets and some predicted that the bubble would pop. Predictions like this were contrarian while the market was rising, and they were ridiculed. But then when the bubble did pop, those same contrarians became nearly household names as network TV invited them on to explain their predictions.”

So begins a lengthy and informative article by blogger FOFOA, in which he claims that the coming devaluation of the dollar will be sprung on us without warning. If you have time, I recommend you read it (here is the link)

Your editor is in partial agreement with FOFOA. Indeed, I would say the devaluation of the dollar is already well underway. Unfortunately, the vast majority of people are currently living in a world of illusion… just this week, against all odds, the stock market rose again. When people see a rise in the nominal value of their investments, they believe they are making money. But they are wrong. Few take in that the cost of living is rising disproportionately higher… so they are actually losing. This is the fundamental strategy behind what I call the stealth devaluation of the dollar. The purchasing power of the dollar has fallen drastically since the Second World War, with a notable increase in the velocity of the fall in the last couple of years.

Another informed and respected commentator on the collapse of the dollar is John Rubino, who recently interviewed yours truly for an article on offshore banking and asset protection. In recent comments he refers to some news passed on by veteran newsletter writers Harry Schultz and Bob Chapman, that verges on what I would call a conspiracy theory…. or does it? You decide! The story goes like this:

“Some US embassies worldwide are being advised to purchase massive amounts of local currencies; enough to last them a year. Some embassies are being sent enormous amounts of US cash to purchase currencies from those govts, quietly. But not £’s. Inside the State Dept there is a sense of sadness & foreboding that ‘something’ is about to happen, unknown re a date-just that within 180 days, but could be 120-150 days.”

Bob quotes another source that “Panasonic has told their people to be back in Japan by Sept 09.”

Harry Schultz’s remarkable take on the situation:

“My HSL suspicion is that the elite plan another FDR style “bank holiday” of indefinite length, perhaps very soon, to let the insiders sort-out the bank mess which is getting more out of their control every day. Insiders want/need to impose new bank rules. Widespread nationalization could result, already under way. It could also lead to a formal US$ devaluation, as FDR did by revaluing gold (& then confiscating it). But devalue against what? The euro? Doubtful. Gold? Maybe. Or vs. the IMF basket of currencies (which seems more likely)-& much in the news recently.

Any kind of bank holiday will push the US$ lower, which may be a bonus benefit to their ongoing scenario of letting the $ fall. Such a fall would get the devaluation they want without having to declare it. In sum, the insiders want more bank & system control, fewer banks & a lower US$. A bank holiday would suit all their needs.”

So there is the question. Can we expect a sudden dollar devaluation, complete with suspension of markets and a so-called ‘bank holiday’? Or will we see the stealth devaluation of the dollar continue to accelerate?

My bet is on the latter. Why would politicians and those in power risk the wrath of the people by devaluing the dollar so explicitly from one day to the next, when they have successfully got away so long with devaluing the dollar on the quiet with few people noticing. But of course I may be wrong, and the situation may be even more out of control than I think.

Either way, I’m not sitting waiting for it to happen, and you shouldn’t either! If you are properly prepared, such a collapse would be a huge profit opportunity. But you would not be able to rely on usual market mechanisms… we have to consider that the stock markets and financial system might be completely suspended. It happened in the aftermath of 9/11, but it hasn’t yet happened during this global financial crisis. Never say never!

My advice is that markets are a nice convenient way of speculating play money for short term gains, but every serious investor needs to keep wealth outside the financial system too. That may be in your own business (if it is resilient) or it may be in real estate (people will always need places to live) or it may be by stashing gold bullion in an offshore safe deposit box.

The Q Wealth Report is here to advise you on all these options and more. If you haven’t yet read our free five-day e-mail course The Secrets of the Super Rich, I would urge you to sign up for it now. As I said, it is absolutely free and without obligation. I think you will find it an eye-opener!

In this article: a quick preview of a way to profit from economic turmoil… Canada’s largest ever gold discovery. This is something our Q Bytes subscribers already received details of today. If you are not yet on the Q Bytes list (and remember it’s FREE!) you have a second chance, because we will send out this link again on Saturday. Read on for more details…

The $787 billion approved in February was not enough, it seems! For example Laura Tyson, an  adviser to President Barack Obama, is quoted by Bloomberg as saying it was “a bit too small.” See also this link about Gold Price Speculation.

As I seem to remember there have been quite a few stimulus deals already…  so where somebody got the idea that this is only the second, I don’t know. But anyway, the chatterers are asking for a “Second Stimulus.” Whether this craziness actually goes ahead or not, it is once again highlighting the potential for decline of the dollar – and the consequent rise in Gold.

I see inflation as the most imminent threat to your capital. Allow me to explain. The Monetary Base is made up of currency in circulation, reserves that banks have on deposit with the Fed, and (last but not least) Federal Reserve Notes (FRNs)  stashed away in bank vaults. This is themoney used in our daily transactions, and as such is the most accurate indicator of inflation.

Between 1960 and 2008, the Monetary Base grew at roughly 6% annually, with a spike around 15% just before the turn of the century. But get this: Between September 2008 and April 2009, the Monetary Base exploded to a 110% growth rate. That means cash available to do business more than doubled in the space of just eight months. And since April… well, you get the idea!

With this level of liquidity, prices have to start rising in a big way. In fact, market guru Marc Faber says he is sure that U.S. will soon go into hyperinflation. Meanwhile other experts suggest that the UK is equally on the edge of a serious currency crisis.

What does all this mean? One short, four letter word:  G O L D ! We’ve written many times about Gold and Precious Metals Investing generally, and more specifically in our Members Section about how to buy and hold gold bullion offshore for the ultimate privacy, hedging and completely legal non-reportability.

But today I am not writing about Gold Bullion. While gold is slow, steady and relatively conservative… there is a way to leverage gold investments and make a lot of money very quickly when the gold price soars. I’m talking of course about gold mining stocks. And right now there is a very interesting opportunity that has come my way, from a couple of highly reputable people, both industry insiders, that has a very high potential upside. It’s interesting because it has two upsides… not just the leverage on the soaring gold price, but the fact that it’s currently undervalued and this is a chance to get in on a new gold find at the ground floor.

It’s not every day that the biggest gold find in Canadian history goes on record! But that’s what’s about to happen.

So I believe the time is right to introduce you to a contact who has all the inside information on it… an veteran ‘hands on’ investor of the Canadian mining business. I named him to Q Bytes readers in an email this morning, but will decline to name him in public here.  Suffice to say, if you missed out you still have a chance. Get on our Q Bytes list by midnight Friday, and I’ll make sure you get this information on Saturday.

He is going to tell you a great story… about a “renegade geologist” and his “mom-and-pop” company who are right now sitting on a mother lode of 10.6 million ounces of gold on their mining property. It’s soon going to go on record as the biggest gold find in Canada… the seventh largest in all of North America.

Now I’d like to point out, to those people out there who want everything for free, that good, hands-on type research costs money (just look at my travel bills each year…) So I’m not saying I’m going to give you all the insider research and contact information you need to take advantage of this deal for free. But Q Bytes readers will have the opportunity to read this story and get full information and insight on how this could work,  and very importantly how you could make money in short order. We mailed some info to our readers today, and we will repeat the relevant links on Saturday, to anyone whois a current Q Bytes reader as of midnight tomorrow Friday.  And Q Bytes is completely free and without any obligation whatsoever. You can sign up to Q Bytes here. Don’t miss out!

The bailout of General Motors is another nail in the coffin of the US dollar. But still, most people haven’t even noticed the real ‘stealth’ devaluation being imposed by the United States government. And yet all of us, Americans or not, are affected by this in a big way, due to the dollar’s status as a reserve currency (and also due to China’s effective control of the dollar, that I have previously touched on…)

Is the dollar “collapsing” or merely “declining”? I believe it is collapsing, but some people might misunderstand this. The dollar is not just going to crash one day, or even one week. It’s an ongoing thing, that started many years ago but has substantially speeded up in the last five years or so (yes, even during the times when the US economy was supposedly booming, that too was based on scams by the financial services sector)

Geithner, Bernanke, Obama and the whole crew are involved in a constant battle to patch over the dollar collapse.  Yet in spite of their attempts, the cracks have widened. The greenback continues its inexorable march downward. This week’s events at G.M. have accelerated the collapse a little more. And I believe that the collapse of the dollar will continue to accelerate with time. What will happen when it hits the bottom is anybody’s guess, but I certainly want to be well prepared when it happens. You should be too. And the Q Wealth website is about helping you do just that – protecting your assets from this stealth devaluation.

The US is not going to crash like Mexico did in 1995, or like Argentina and Brazil have done since with overnight currency devaluations. Neither will go bankrupt in one day like Iceland. The US government still has way too much influence and political power for that to happen. It’s a stealth devaluation because your portfolio will appear to be going higher. You will have more dollars. The stock market will be up. But in real terms, you are losing money faster than ever before. This is what some people have a hard time getting their head around – but it’s very important. The government will try to persuade you that things are going well, when really they are not. Bottom line? It’s a scam being perpetrated on you by government. If you care about protecting your assets and creating new wealth, you have to understand this.

So where can you actually put your money to protect against the stealth devaluation and collapse of the dollar? What about other currencies? Well, necessity dictates that we need to use currencies like dollars, euros and pounds to carry on business. And common investing sense dictates that you should diversify assets, so at least having a proportion of euros is better than having all dollars. It’s a start.

But unfortunately none of these currencies look good. Every other major central bank is participating in the very same scam, meaning that their currencies are equally doomed. So it would not be safe to assume that buying, say, euros, will give you any serious protection against the loss of your assets.

My number one mantra to clients is diversification, diversification and diversification. If you have a portfolio above six figures, it should be in different currencies, in different banks, on different continents. Opening overseas personal accounts, while having no tax consequences, can certainly help asset protection…the geographic diversification protects against the threat called government, while the mere fact that the assets are offshore significantly reduces the risk of you being sued in the first place, especially if you live in a litigious place like the USA or increasingly the UK.

Generally, private international banks are also a whole lot more flexible and service minded too. They offer Swiss-style wealth management banking facilities. For example, I noticed the other day that one of my European private offshore banks (not in Switzerland in this case) had quietly added gold ounces to the list of currencies I could hold in my multi-currency checking account. I guess that means I can even write cheques denominated in gold ounces, though I haven’t tried that yet. I see some of the larger European clearing banks like RAIFFEISEN ZENTRALBANK OESTERREICH AG in Austria are now maintaining gold correspondent accounts for their institutional clients. Interesting, huh?

Which are the best offshore banks for this kind of wealth management? For the answer to that question you need to be a member of The Q Wealth Report. Download the Practical Offshore Banking Guide (available instantly as soon as your payment is approved) and you will find ten of them for starters, with impartial comments on each… together with the form for a free e-mail consultation if you would like to discuss your individual circumstances with me directly.

Gold, probably is number one on my list of recommendations as a hedge against dollar decline. There are ways you should buy gold, and ways you shouldn’t. One way you should not invest in gold is by following typical mainstream advice and investing in ETFs, the most famous of which is GLD the SPDR Gold ETF. Ther are significant concerns about whether you could really get your gold out, or even your money back in dollars (which is not what you would want anyway at that stage) in the case of an economic meltdown.

For example, what do you think of this quote directly from the GLD prospectus?

The Trust’s gold may be subject to loss, damage, theft or restriction on access.

There is a risk that part or all of the Trust’s gold could be lost, damaged or stolen. Access to the Trust’s gold could also be restricted by natural events (such as an earthquake) or human actions (such as a terrorist attack). Any of these events may adversely affect the operations of the Trust and, consequently, an investment in the Shares.

The Trust may not have adequate sources of recovery if its gold is lost, damaged, stolen or destroyed and recovery may be limited, even in the event of fraud, to the market value of the gold at the time the fraud is discovered.

If you would like to know about better ways to invest in Gold offshore, you need my Gold Report – How to Buy and Hide Gold Bullion Offshore which is likewise available free of charge for immediate download to our paid up members.

Not a member yet? Sign up to Q Wealth Report here.

Some of the large banks in the United States are like “dead men walking” and most are “insolvent”. That is the conclusion of an article by Steve Lohr in today’s International Herald Tribune.

Nouriel Roubini,  professor of economics at the New York University, has to date been both pessimistic and prescient about the crisis. In his latest report, Roubini estimates that total losses on loans by American financial firms and the fall in the market value of the assets they hold will reach $3.6 trillion, up from his earlier estimate of $2 trillion.

Of the total, he calculates that American banks face half that risk, or $1.8 trillion, with the rest borne by US non-bank financial institutions (such as insurance companies) and banks based outside the USA.

“The United States banking system is effectively insolvent,” Roubini said.

Roubini’s numbers might be the highest, but he’s certainly not alone in his dire predictions. Simon Johnson, a former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund, estimates that the United States banks have a capital shortage of $500 billion. “In a more severe recession, it will take $1 trillion or so to properly capitalize the banks,” said Johnson, an economist at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, quoted in the IHT article.

At the end of January, the IMF raised its estimate of the potential losses from loans and other credit securities originated in the United States to $2.2 trillion, up from $1.4 trillion last October. The IMF says that US and European banks would need at least $500 billion in new capital, a figure more conservative than those of many economists.

Still, these numbers are all based on estimates of the value of complex mortgage-backed securities in a very uncertain economy. “At this moment, the liabilities they have far exceed their assets,” said Posen of the Peterson institute. “They are insolvent.”

Yet, as Posen and other economists are at pains to point out, there are crucial issues of timing and market psychology that surround the discussion of bank solvency. If one takes the somewhat optimistic view that current conditions simply reflect a temporary panic, then the value of the banks’ toxic assets could well recover over time. If not, then we can guess what will happen.

“If they had to sell these securities today, the losses would be far beyond their capital at this point,” says another expert, Raghuram Rajan, a professor of finance and an economist at the University of Chicago graduate business school “But if the prices of these assets will recover over the next year or so, if they don’t have to sell at distress prices, the banks could have a new lease on life by giving them some time.” That sort of breathing room is known as regulatory forbearance – essentially a bet by regulators that time will help heal banking wounds.

Note: If you are worried about your exposure to the financial collapse and the falling dollar, the answer might be right here. Q Wealth Offshore Banking Expert Peter Macfarlane will be giving a presentation on offshore banking in Ireland next month at Q Wealth’s “Meet the Men Who Made Their Clients Millions” event along with Dr Richard Cawte, It’s not too late to book your place, by clicking on the link above. Otherwise, sign up for Q Wealth’s Q Bytes newsletter today so you can receive our free missives approximately once a month.