The following article by Peter Macfarlane appeared in this week’s Q Bytes, our free newsletter dedicated to international asset protection, offshore wealth creation, investing and private banking. We are republishing it here on the Q WEalth blog as we feel it is of general interest. If you would like to receive future editions of Q Bytes free of charge, be sure to sign up here.

Hardly a week seems to go by at the moment without Gold being a hot topic here at Q Wealth. But this last week has been an especially rough ride, with gold ‘pulling back’ quite substantially. Is this cause to start crying, or is it an opportunity to stock up on gold?

I thought this week I would briefly discuss some divergent opinions and strategies on gold, and propose a couple of solutions that I believe will put readers into profit.

A reader from California recently wrote me:

“Thank you, Mr. Macfarlane, for accepting my divergent opinion in good spirits….” he begins. Well, everyone is entitled to their opinion and as I always say, I may be wrong! I may be way off track. Maybe Bernanke and Obama will save the world shortly and we’ll all live happily ever after. I doubt it, but anyway I am one of the biggest believers in the world in free speech and liberty of expression.

May I add an additional comment related to gold ownership in ones portfolio?” continues our reader. “When the market price increases from one day to the next, the purveyors of gold advise purchasing the metal for its price is only heading higher. When the price declines from one day to the next, the decline is characterized as a ‘buying opportunity’. One thing is consistent among the purveyors of gold though, they never – repeat, never – issue a “_sell_” recommendation? It’s always buy, buy, buy.

And, least I forget, if one truly believes that the market price of gold is headed higher, why not purchase a gold futures on contract on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange? – which can be rolled over for a distant contract indefinitely. The CME affords the trader enormous leverage on such futures contracts, and there’s no applicable interest charge for the market price that exceed the initial “earnest money” deposit. And the traders’ earnest funds can be in the form of Treasury bills, which are segregated from the funds of the futures merchants account.

Well, I guess we are coming at this equation from polar opposite perspectives. This reader is clearly valuing his gold holdings in US dollars. I do the opposite – my base currency is gold, and dollars are a forex speculation for me, just like euros or yuan or Paraguayan guarani.

My reasoning behind this is that gold is the stronger currency, that has been around infinitely longer than the dollar. The dollar is ‘fiat’ money (see for example these earlier articles) that is created, figuratively speaking, by a printing press currently controlled by Bernanke and partners. The dollar can come and go, but gold won’t. The purchasing power of an ounce of gold has been pretty much constant for generations – whereas the same can certainly not be said for the dollar.

What is the dollar backed by?

One of the better arguments for the backing of the dollar that I’ve heard recently, is that it is backed by the work and entrepreneurialism of the American people. There’s some truth in that. Basically if they keep working hard and handing over the fruits of their labour to the government, there is something of value backing the dollar.

I’m just not sure that those hard-working American people really agreed to have their futures – and that of their sons and daughters and grandchildren – mortgaged in this way by a small subset of politicians and banksters. Maybe it was like the sub-prime mortgage borrowers who didn’t really understand what they were getting into. Cheap and plentiful short term money trumped long term prudence. And we all know how that ended up. Now we are just seeing a much expanded version of it.

I’m far from convinced that investing in the dollar is good business. If it were a case of supporting a stock of a company where the management were borrowing to the hilt for short term fun, while treating stakeholders reprehensibly and not giving a damn about the future, there would also be an ethical argument against getting involved. And I don’t see why governments should be treated any differently than companies. Abuse of the American people is not something I want to get involved in, any more than I would support abuse of cheap labour in Asian shoe factories.

Now I know this may be hard to swallow for people who have valued everything in one reference currency – be it dollars, or pounds or something else – for their entire lives. It is quite a leap of thinking. But it’s totally possible. You need to become a Sovereign Individual, not reliant on any particular country or currency. You need to think in different currencies and look at all currencies, including the one in common circulation in your home country, from the perspective of an outsider. If you were from another country, would you be investing in that currency right now?

Of course, I am not talking about day-to-day expenses. You certainly need some local currency on hand to buy the groceries. Multi-currency credit cards per se don’t exist, but you can easily, for example, obtain a regular credit card billed against a multi-currency bank account. You can sign charges in any currency you like, converting only what you need at that moment. You’ll find information on this, including how to open a foreign multi currency bank account in some of the world’s safest and best offshore banks, in the Practical Offshore Banking Guide 2010

The Dollar Bear Market Continutes

With that in perspective (that I value currencies against gold, not the other way around) let’s get back to the reader’s question. I don’t see so much of a gold bull market right now, as a dollar and euro bear market. My personal view (and there’s no substitute for taking professional advice here) is that this situation will continue as is for the foreseeable future.

Wild swings are caused by day to day speculations, but don’t affect the overall trend. So to turn it around, I believe the price of gold valued in fiat money will continue to rise, and will do so significantly. The more Quantitative Easing that takes place, the less the dollar will be worth. This is what I have written about in the past: stealth devaluation. If there’s more of something, it’s worth less. This logic is hard to argue with.

After all I’ve said above, you can probably figure that US Treasury Bills are the last thing in the world I would want to sink my money into. For me, that would be like buying bonds in a company that I know is about to go bankrupt. Unfortunately, as Ron Holland has explained in the report Are You Ready for the Coming Obama Retiement Trap (available in the Q Wealth Members’ Area) that is exactly what US retirement funds are being encouraged, even forced, to do. This is a seriously scary prospect.

As for buying contracts on the CME, well why not… I’m all in favour of speculation. There are lots of ways you can obtain leverage through brokerage accounts within the system. I keep a large portion of my personal wealth in physical gold, safely outside the financial system. I also keep a ‘play money’ account that I leverage to the hilt and buy financial contracts like this with. It’s doing rather well at the moment. But it’s money I know I might have to lose, for example if a sudden catastrophe hits and the financial markets are closed down. I would put the odds of something like that happening in the foreseeable future at perhaps 15% – 25%. Not a huge risk, but definitely not one I would bet my entire net worth on.

The fact that you can roll over CME contracts indefinitely is part of the problem, of course. It’s extremely likely that the counterparties would be completely unable to fulfill their obligations if everybody wanted to exercise their right to physical gold at once. The whole system relies on punters rolling over.

So, why I don’t like the idea of buying gold futures using T-bonds as earnest money? Because you are using one form of promise to buy another form of promise, when nobody – not even the people involved, I am sure, if you could talk to them and get a straight answer – would really earnestly claim that the promises are backed by anything of value. That is just unsustainable in my view. You might make short term paper profits, yes. Fine… I have nothing against speculation, just as I have nothing against casino gambling – but when I go to casinos I just enjoy the ambience, I don’t gamble.

If you want to use leverage to speculate on the price of gold, here’s what I would do. Get yourself a regular brokerage account that allows you to trade on margin. Get yourself a subscription to Casey’s International Speculator – they even have a 25% discount offer running at the moment. Casey’s International Speculator is one of the longest-running, most respected newsletter services of its kind anywhere, so it’s got a track record. It was founded by Doug Casey, self made international man.I have a subscription and consult it frequently. Then go speculate. That way you’re investing in companies that actually have intrinsic value, rather than pure promises.

At the end of the day, it’s big picture against small picture, short term against long term. We live in interesting times. Enjoy the rest of your weekend!

“Many of our clients at BFI are very wealthy,” writes our Swiss Mountain Guide friend and Swiss Gold Storage expert Frank Suess in his latest newsletter. “They spend much time on wealth planning; in other words, on how to protect and grow their wealth. However, they generally do not consider how to protect themselves in the current environment. While protecting your wealth, you should not forget how to protect YOU. Things might not seem so bad in everyday life. Your daily routine is not affected by the bigger changes occurring around you. Therefore, it all does not seem that threatening. They never do.”

Have you defined a contingency plan, an escape route for you and your loved ones, in case leaving your country becomes an unwelcome necessity? If not, we recommend you at least start considering this line of thought. I myself (Peter) was just talking about this very topic yesterday with one of my personal consulting clients. It is obviously a sensitive topic, something not everybody has the guts to face up to. But an important one, nonetheless.

Do you have in place an escape route like a second passport (for example an economic citizenship) or at least a legal residence in a far-off, neutral country where you and your family could ride out the storm?

Certainly having contingency plans in place could make you sleep better at night. The best laid contingency plans are the ones you hope you never have to use!

This is a theme we will be developing more early in 2010 here at the Q Wealth Report, as well as at our forthcoming Q Wealth ‘Strategies for Success’ event in Cancun, Mexico in March. If you are interested in joining us, please contact Frederick in our office for details.

More offshore protection news soon…

“When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?”  Keynes’ comments are very relevant to the fast changing world of banking where we do business today. Investors more than ever have to keep on their toes, keep themselves informed, and not be complacent.

Which are the world’s safest or best offshore banks? Where is the best country to open a bank account? Which is the best offshore tax haven? Is it still a good idea to open a bank account in Switzerland?

These are the type of questions I get on a daily basis as an offshore wealth management editor and consultant. For example, in recent months I have seen a lot of the fallout of the UBS scandal in the United States. Swiss banking giant UBS has closed thousands of  bank accounts based in their Swiss branches where American residents or citizens were involved as signatories – even accounts that had been open for decades. Many investors believe that Credit Suisse could be next on the hitlist and are beginning to think that ‘small is beautiful’ when it comes to private banking.

The answer, as I always have to explain, is that there is no ‘best offshore bank’ nor even ‘best offshore banking country.’ A whole range of individual circumstances come in to play. Investors have many different motivations when looking for a new bank. Often these days, the level of service, privacy, and asset protection are far more important than the tax implications of a secret offshore bank account.

For example, your citizenship is very important. If you are a US citizen your options are more limited, as many offshore banks no longer accept US citizens as clients. Canadians or Australians for example will have fewer problems in this regard. But the traditional wisdom is that for the best level of privacy, choose a bank that does not have offices or branches in your home country.

If you are a citizen of a European Union country (including the United Kingdom of course) then the European Union Savings Tax Directive comes into play, and you might prefer to hold your offshore bank account in one of the tax-haven type banking countries that is not a signatory to this treaty. That rules out Switzerland, Andorra and the Cayman Islands for example – and brings into play other prominent financial capitals a little further afield, like Panama or Singapore.

But there are also other nuances to look out for besides citizenship and residency. What kind of services are you looking for? Do you want one with the best online trading technology or the one with the highest level of personal service? Generally, those two are polar opposites.  Traditional private banking is expensive. Whereas for online trading in the financial markets, maybe you don’t even need a bank account these days.

Most offshore banks offer debit and/or credit cards, and internet banking – two essentials for the modern expat bank account. But again from here, services vary widely. Will it be a Maestro ATM card or a an American Express Platinum? If you are mainly interested in cash withdrawals using an offshore card, then Maestro might be better. But other clients want the prestige and service level afforded to those Gold and Platinum level clients – not to mention perks like airline miles offered on HSBC’s Panama Platinum Mastercards (that can be very valuable if you are conducting serious business through your offshore company.)

Ultimately, then, there is no correct answer – the best offshore bank account for one person is completely different from the best account for somebody down the road. If you would like to read more about this, you will find 40 or so pages of easy to read advice in my Practical Offshore Banking Guide 2009. This report is available instantly for download in pdf format, and also includes contact details of ten offshore banks we can particularly recommend that are suitable for most of our readers.

The guide is FREE OF CHARGE if you are already a member of The Q Wealth Report. If you are not yet a member, you can sign up online right now for the price of a good lunch ($87 to be precise) and get instant access to this information, together with our no-quibble money back guarantee of satisfaction. Or, if you are not ready just yet but would like to stay in touch, sign up for our Q Bytes online newsletter and get a free five part course on offshore banking and asset protection.

by Peter Macfarlane for The Q Wealth Report